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How Many Slaves Died?

The question has an answer, and the answer is documented — ship by ship, voyage by voyage, in the archives of the men who kept the books.

In short

How many enslaved people died in the Atlantic slave trade?

About 1.8 million people died during the Middle Passage — roughly 15 per cent of the 12.5 million Africans forced onto slave ships between 1501 and 1866. Only about 10.7 million were landed alive.

Counting the raids, the forced marches to the coast and the barracoons — the stages no ledger recorded — historians put deaths caused directly by the trade at roughly 4 to 6 million. Deaths in slavery itself, over four centuries of plantation labour in the Americas, are not included in any of those figures and cannot be counted with the same confidence.

Source — Trans-Atlantic Slave Trade Database (slavevoyages.org); Eltis & Richardson, Atlas of the Transatlantic Slave Trade

Voyages

The Atlantic crossing, century by century

PeriodEmbarkedLandedDied at sea
1501–1600277,500241,300~36,000
1601–17001,875,6001,566,900~309,000
1701–18006,494,6005,609,900~885,000
1801–18663,873,6003,338,400~535,000
Total12,521,30010,756,500~1,765,000

Embarked and disembarked totals from the Trans-Atlantic Slave Trade Database (slavevoyages.org, 2019 estimates). The gap is death at sea.

Destinations

Where the 10.7 million who survived were landed

Region of arrivalPeople landedShare
Brazil~4,864,00045%
British Caribbean~2,318,00022%
French Caribbean~1,120,00010%
Spanish Americas~1,293,00012%
Dutch Americas~445,0004%
Mainland North America / United States~389,0004%

Disembarkation regions, Trans-Atlantic Slave Trade Database. The United States is not the centre of this story; it is a footnote to Brazil and the Caribbean.

Why the number is contested

Every death toll for slavery is an argument about what counts. Restrict the count to the Middle Passage and you get 1.8 million, a figure defensible from ships' papers. Include the African wars fought to supply the ships, the marches, the barracoons, and the first "seasoning" year in the Americas — the year in which a third of new arrivals could die — and the total moves past ten million. Include four centuries of shortened lives on plantations and the arithmetic stops being a count and becomes an estimate of a demographic hole: West and Central Africa's population is thought to have stagnated for a century and a half while Europe's grew.

This archive quotes the documented figures first and labels the modelled ones as modelled. For the wider arithmetic of empire — famines, wars, wealth extracted — see The Ledger, and for what is owed on it, the case for reparations.

From the Archive

Sykes–Picot map
The Sykes–Picot map, 1916. Britain and France drew straight lines across the Arab world.Source — Wikimedia Commons · Public domain
Colonial Africa, 1913
Africa in 1913. Twenty-eight years after the Berlin Conference, only Ethiopia and Liberia remained nominally independent.Source — Wikimedia Commons · Public domain
British Empire map 1886
Imperial Federation Map of the World, 1886. The pink covers roughly a quarter of the earth's land.Source — Wikimedia Commons · Public domain
Triangular trade map
The triangular Atlantic trade. Manufactured goods to Africa, enslaved Africans to the Americas, plantation commodities back to Europe.Source — Wikimedia Commons · Public domain
Benin Bronze
A Benin Bronze. Thousands were looted by British forces in 1897; most still sit in European museums.Source — Wikimedia Commons · CC-licensed
Berlin Conference 1885 document
Berlin Conference Final Act, 1885. Fourteen European states partitioned Africa without a single African delegate present.Source — Wikimedia Commons · Public domain

References

Sources & Further Reading

  1. [1]Jason Hickel, Dylan Sullivan & Huzaifa Zoomkawala, "Imperialist appropriation in the world economy: Drain from the global South through unequal exchange, 1990–2015", New Political Economy / Global Environmental Change (2022).
  2. [2]Utsa Patnaik, "Revisiting the 'Drain', or Transfer from India to Britain", in Agrarian and Other Histories (Tulika, 2018); summarised in Jason Hickel, How Britain stole $45 trillion from India (Al Jazeera, 19 Dec 2018).
  3. [3]Branko Milanović, Global Inequality: A New Approach for the Age of Globalization (Harvard, 2016).
  4. [4]Thomas Piketty, Capital and Ideology (Harvard, 2020), Part III on slave and colonial societies.
  5. [5]Stephen Broadberry & Bishnupriya Gupta, "The Early Modern Great Divergence: Wages, Prices and Economic Development in Europe and Asia, 1500–1800", Economic History Review 59 (2006).
  6. [6]Mike Davis, Late Victorian Holocausts: El Niño Famines and the Making of the Third World (Verso, 2001).
  7. [7]World Bank, World Development Indicators.
  8. [8]UN DESA, World Population Prospects.
  9. [9]Oxfam International, Inequality Kills (annual Davos briefing, 2022 onwards).

All works cited in good faith for documentary, educational and critical use. Errors and omissions: contact the archive.